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Iraqi oil reserves double estimates

 
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ian neal
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Joined: 26 Jul 2005
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PostPosted: Tue Apr 24, 2007 8:46 pm    Post subject: Iraqi oil reserves double estimates Reply with quote

Iraq is sitting on potential reserves of 100 billion barrels, nearly twice as much as currently estimated, according to a study by energy analysts IHS.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/6570623.stm
http://www.economist.com/displayStory.cfm?story_id=9060287&fsrc=RSS

Background to this

This study was conducted by IHS. CERA is an IHS company and dismisses (imminent) peak oil

http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseDe tails.aspx?CID=8444
http://www.ihs.com/News/Press-Releases/2006/PeakOilTheory.htm

This has attracted response from peak oil proponents

http://www.peakoil.ie/experts/skrebowski/skrebowskiresponds.html

Discussion on the oil drum europe is predictably sceptical

http://europe.theoildrum.com/node/2480
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Busker
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Joined: 13 Jun 2006
Posts: 374
Location: North East

PostPosted: Tue Apr 24, 2007 9:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

All of which has been carved up by the big oil companies already hasn't it?
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kbo234
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Joined: 10 Dec 2005
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Location: Croydon, Surrey

PostPosted: Tue Apr 24, 2007 9:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

'The Federal Oil and Gas Council', a body not subject to the authority of the Iraqi parliament (it would appear) will decide who gets the oil.....i.e. Exxon, Texaco, BP, Shell, Esso etc. Mind you, while the US remain in Iraq they control the Iraqi government anyway.....that's the other main reason (besides keeping enemies of Israel at bay) why they are staying there.

See here:

http://www.thetruthseeker.co.uk/article.asp?ID=6398
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James C
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Joined: 26 Jan 2006
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PostPosted: Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ian neal wrote:
This study was conducted by IHS. CERA is an IHS company and dismisses (imminent) peak oil

http://www.cera.com/aspx/cda/public1/news/pressReleases/pressReleaseDe tails.aspx?CID=8444
http://www.ihs.com/News/Press-Releases/2006/PeakOilTheory.htm


I always find it amazing that CERA can repeatedly make the claim that peak oil is not an issue and then show this graph (which they always show) that proves Hubbert was indeed correct. Regardless of the fact that the total output of the US has been greater than Hubbert predicted, the peak did occur at exactly the time he said it would. Since peak oil is about the peaking of oil supplies and not a study of reserves or output then no wonder people get it so wrong after reading what CERA has to say.

So what if Iraq does contain twice the stated reserves. If it takes several years to start extracting all that oil at its full potential, which it will, then at best it will only offset the declines in older oil fields elsewhere in the world. However, the general consensus is that the declines globally will be greater than the sum of the increases which in short means the global oil market will go into a net decline and so by definition a peak will be reached and probably soon.
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