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PostPosted: Tue Jan 17, 2006 12:59 pm    Post subject: Target Iran Reply with quote

TARGET TEHRAN AND IRAN IMPLODES
by Justin Walker

Introduction

The Alternative Media has seen over the last few months a series of predictions and detailed scenarios concerning the likely immediate fate of Iran. Talk of pre-emptive strikes by Israel on Iran's nuclear programme, followed up by a strategic bombing assault by America (possibly using tactical nuclear weapons) and then a mass retaliation by Iran's surviving armed forces, has seen an American aircraft carrier sunk, the US Fifth Fleet in disarray, thousands of US and Iranian servicemen killed, the collapse of the US dollar and radioactive clouds heading towards the Indian sub-continent.  

Now, I'm not saying that this couldn't happen - and we do know that the global agenda for a fascist One World Government, which is being actively carried out slowly but surely by an elite network of NeoConservative/Illuminati/Zionist secret societies, will eventually need to see the demotion of the United States from the world's only super-power to that of an ordinary team player in the coming New World Order - but I just feel that there may be a different series of events that will take us all by surprise and which will be largely believed and probably welcomed by the unsuspecting peoples of the world.   One thing is almost certain.   Like what happened to the poor people of Afghanistan and Iraq, an engineered storm is about to be unleashed by a cabal of criminals onto the innocent people of Iran - and I emphasise that word ‘innocent’ because overwhelmingly ordinary Iranians just want to lead normal peaceful lives and do not feel hatred towards other cultures and beliefs.

But before taking you through what I believe is a very possible and realistic scenario which not only deals effectively with the nuclear issue, but will also tick many of the other boxes as well, it is important that some little-known background information is explained in detail which I think will clarify and hopefully persuade you, the reader, towards my way of thinking.


The U.S. Military

Last year in August, we had the strange affair of the sudden dismissal of a four star general.  General Kevin P. Byrnes was relieved for possible sexual misconduct but anonymous sources close to the military believe he was part of a U.S. military faction discontented with the Bush administration’s war policies in Iraq and the increasing likelihood of a contrived and bloody conflict with Iran. People tend to forget that the one, two, three and four star generals of today in the American Army probably fought as young officers and soldiers in Vietnam.  They probably had friends killed and maimed - they certainly witnessed the humiliation felt by the military as America withdrew from South Vietnam and had to withstand the stigma of being seen to lose the war.

Over the next three decades these officers rebuilt the prestige and morale of the American Army but now all their good work is apparently being undone on the streets of Baghdad.   How do these officers feel when they know that their Commander in Chief, the U.S. President, and the Vice President, both used their influential families and contacts to avoid serving on active duty in Vietnam?  And how do they feel when they know that whilst the war in Iraq is far from won, these two cowards in the White House, along with their neocon cronies, are now engineering an even bigger war with Iran?  The answer has to be there is a lot of disquiet within the military about what is happening, especially when some of the senior figures in the U.S. military probably know that the official story of 9/11 is not true and that it was nothing but a false flag operation to justify the neocon’s ambitious agenda as highlighted by the Project for a New American Century.

To counter this disquiet, the neocons know that if the senior military are to be kept on board and loyal to the administration, an alternative plan for dealing with Iran must be drawn up that does not involve an all out war.  Indeed, it must be a plan that plays very much on Iran's weaknesses.  And the three greatest weaknesses that the Islamic Republic of Iran has are that its decision making is extremely centralised based on Tehran; that the educated middle classes and students, as well as four ethnic minority groups, are growing very tired and weary of living in a strict Islamic state and would welcome a more moderate, secular and democratic form of government; and the third weakness definitely not lost on the planners is Iran's geophysical vulnerability.


The City of Tehran.

Tehran sits on one major and two minor fault lines and is home to more than 12 million people, but few of the buildings have been made to withstand even an earthquake measuring 6 on the Richter scale. What follows are opinions from three leading Iranian seismologists:

"Tehran must be rebuilt to withstand earthquakes; if not it should be moved," says Dr Bahram Akasheh, a geophysicist at Tehran University.

"Either we have to put up with millions of dead, millions of injured, or we need to move the capital somewhere else and take steps to decrease the population here and make Tehran more resistant to earthquakes," he warns.

According to Dr Akasheh's calculations, there is a 90% chance of an earthquake measuring 6 on the Richter scale hitting Tehran and a 50% chance of an earthquake measuring 7.5 striking the capital.

"Activation of Tehran's faultlines will also herald one of the strongest earthquakes ever seen in the world," said the Head of Tehran Earthquake Research Center, Farid Mahdian.

"In general", he says, "the southern part of the capital city is particularly vulnerable to tremors due to the existence of soft ground, high buildings and population density, and narrow and congested streets".

Head of the International Seismographic Research Center affiliated to the Ministry of Science, Research and Technology, Mohsen Ghafouri Ashtiyani said that according to specialized studies, the faultlines around Tehran are sliding and gathering energy and there is a strong likelihood of an earthquake striking the Iranian capital.

"On the basis of the studies, the probability of a quake above seven degrees on the Richter scale in the next 10 years currently stands at 65 percent and this is expected to increase with the passing of time," he said.

To summarise, Tehran is viewed by the international community of seismologists as being, like San Francisco and Tokyo, a city waiting for the inevitable 'big one'.

http://www.ngdir.ir/Data_SD/GeoportalInfo/Subjects/EnPics/ fault-E.jpg 

(map of Iran's earthquake faults)


Artificially-induced Earthquakes.

Former Secretary of Defense (USA) William S. Cohen was quoted as saying at a conference in April 1997, "Others are engaging even in an ecotype of terrorism, whereby they can alter the climate, set off earthquakes or volcanoes remotely, through the use of electromagnetic waves".

When you read about the brilliant 20th century scientist and inventor, Nikola Tesla, and realise that his incredible research (on free energy amongst other things) has been largely suppressed by those who do not have our best interests at heart, you start to realise very quickly that there is an awful lot going on in the laboratories belonging to the military industrial complex that we will probably never know about. Having set off some spectacular but very localised tremors in and around his laboratory, Tesla discovered that man-made earthquakes could be triggered by finding and using the correct resonant vibration of the earth.

In the July 11 1935 issue of the New York American an article entitled 'Tesla's Controlled Earthquakes' reported that Tesla's "experiments in transmitting mechanical vibrations through the Earth - called by him "the art of telegeodynamic" - were roughly described by the scientists as a sort of controlled earthquake". The article went on to say "The rhythmical vibrations pass through the Earth with almost no loss of energy. It becomes possible to convey mechanical effects to the greatest terrestrial distances and produce all kinds of unique effects. The invention could be used with destructive effect in war."

In an Arctic compound 450 kilometres east of Anchorage, Alaska, the Pentagon has erected a powerful transmitter designed to beam more than a gigawatt of energy into the upper reaches of the atmosphere. Known as Project HAARP (High-frequency Active Auroral Research Program), the experiment involves the world’s largest "ionospheric heater," a device designed to zap the skies hundreds of kilometres above the Earth with high-frequency radio waves.

Ever since the existence of HAARP became public, a number of independent researchers have warned the operation has a secret agenda including weather modification, mind control, hi-tech military experiments, and the triggering of earthquakes. HAARP transmissions may also be used for the detection and monitoring of electromagnetic or "plasma" phenomena, precursors of seismic activity and tectonic movement. Researchers believe HAARP transmissions are actually being used to activate or trigger exactly the same electromagnetic conditions that can cause tectonic movement.

The 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami has troubled a number of researchers who believe that the actual earthquake itself that triggered the giant waves might just have been as a direct result of some top secret military nuclear testing in the waters of the Indian Ocean. Certainly scientists have been shocked to find eleven months later a 'dead zone' devoid of life at the epicentre of the quake, four kilometres beneath the surface of the Indian Ocean. A scientist working on the Census of Marine Life Project, Ron O'Dor, of Dalhousie University in Canada is reported as saying "You'd expect a site like this to be quickly re-colonised, but that hasn't happened. It's unprecedented."

As I have already pointed out, Tehran is situated on three tectonic fault lines and is expecting a major earthquake in the foreseeable future. Americans have easy access to nearly all of the countries surrounding Iran. Nobody knows for certain what the black arts of science are capable of but the triggering of these tectonic plates beneath Tehran would appear to be quite feasible when you consider that it was 1935 that Tesla was meeting with success with his experiments.


Khuzestan - the former autonomous Arab province of Ahwaz.

The Ahwazi Arab Nation was admitted as a member of the Unrepresented Nations and Peoples Organisation (UNPO) in 2003.   According to the UNPO's website the Ahwazi people in Iran’s south western Khuzestan province are suffering severely under the Islamic Republic of Iran's regime with reports last year of repressive and violent measures being taken against Ahwazi dissidents.   It has also been reported that Ahwazi children, unlike other children in Iran, are suffering from severe malnutrition.

UNPO's profile of the Ahwazi Arab Nation reads as follows:

History:

Ahwaz used to be an autonomous Arab territory that had its own ruler, Shaykh Khazal, until he was deposed in 1925 by Persian General Reza Khan, who went on to become king of Iran. Ahwaz gradually lost its political, economic and cultural independence when it was completely annexed by Reza Shah Pahlavi, who forcefully took over Ahwaz. Before Iran annexed Ahwaz, the Persians referred to the region as Arabistan (signifying the territory's Arab character). After its annexation, the central government changed the territory's name to Khuzestan. Since 1925, Ahwaz, or Khuzestan, is a province that lies in southwest Iran, bordering Iraq, Kuwait and the Persian Gulf. Ahwaz is now the name of the province's capital, used by Persians and Arabs alike. However, Persians refer to the province as Khuzestan, while Arabs still refer to the province as Ahwaz (or Al-Ahwaz in the Arabic language).

Ahwaz is very rich in oil and natural resources. However, the Ahwazi people do not benefit from the riches of their own land. Our people deserve to benefit from the wealth generated by the resources on their own lands. The only "benefits" they receive is a terribly polluted environment resulting from a mismanaged oil industry and the diversion of oil wealth to Tehran.
The quality of the drinking water and irrigation water is poor due to an inadequate sewage system and industrial contamination, primarily from the sugar cane plants. This problem is exacerbated by the diversion of water out of Ahwaz to other parts of Iran and the sale of Ahwaz's water to the Gulf States by the Iranian government.

The confiscation of Arab-owned land by the Iranian government has been an established policy since 1925. The lands are typically given over to non-Arab settlers and used by the government as new construction sites. No matter who is in charge in Tehran, be it Reza Shah, his son, Mohammad Reza Shah, or the heads of the Islamic Republic, the same undemocratic policy has always been pursued toward the national and religious minorities in Iran, and in particular, toward the Arab people of Ahwaz.

In recent years, self-awareness and the growth of the Ahwazi Arab national movement have been on the rise. This is a reality that cannot be ignored when dealing with the issues of freedom and democracy in Iran and the Middle East at large, particularly in the Gulf region. Due to its fertile land, numerous rivers, and vast oil reserves, Ahwaz has the resources to sustain itself and generate significant income from oil and agricultural exports. Bordering Iraq, Kuwait, and the Persian Gulf, Ahwaz weighs in heavily in geopolitical balance of the Middle East.

Geographical features:

Area: About 69,000 square kilometres.

Boundaries from the North, mountains of Lurestan and Kurdistan, from the East and Southeast Zagrus Mountains, from south Dashtestan and the Gulf, from the West Iraq, South and Southwest is the Gulf and the Shat-el-Arab Waterway.

Ahwaz (Arabistan) or Khuzestan is strategically located on the northern tip of the Gulf and the Shatt-al Arab waterway.   It sits atop of vast mineral resources including a reserve of over 40 billion barrels of oil and 210 billion cubic meters of natural gas, which is the second largest known oil and gas reserves in the world.   The land produces 3-5---5 million barrels of oil per day, or 20% of OPEC's daily production (my emphasis).

Population and Culture:

The population is estimated to be between 4 and 6 million. The U.S. State Department 2002 Human Rights Report estimates the Ahwazi Arabs in Iran to be over 4 million.

Prior to its annexation in April 20, 1925, Arabistan enjoyed full autonomy and independence at various times in its history of 5,000 years. Arabic was taught and spoken as the official language prior to annexation.

After the emergence of Reza Shah and by enforcing centralization, he invaded Arabistan with 22,000 soldiers, overthrew the local administration, occupied and destroyed Arabistan’s sovereignty, and subordinated the province to Iran - all against the wishes of its Arab inhabitants and without their direct involvement or a referendum.  The state adopted Farsi (Persian) as the official language, which is spoken by less than 40% of the total population.  The government shut down the schools and banned Arabic education in the province where about 90% of the people were native Arabic speakers. The Iranian government officially changed the name of the province from Arabistan to Khuzestan in 1936.

And that is how the Ahwazi Arab people were put under political, cultural, social and economic subjugation by the past Iranian monarchist and the current clerical regimes for the past 78 years. These regimes stripped Arabs of Ahwaz from their human rights and lowered their status to the ranks of 2nd and 3rd class citizens.

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/images/iran-ethnic-groups.gif

(map of ethnic make-up of Iran)

http://www.lib.utexas.edu/maps/middle_east_and_asia/iran_major_ oilfields78.jpg

(map of Iran's key oil fields)


The Scenario

In late January 2006, the Pentagon secretly alerts all Iranian opposition groups both inside and outside Iran, including those in Khuzestan, Baluchistan, and Iranian Kurdistan and Azerbaijan, that the US administration will begin to actively seek ways of removing the regime of President Ahmadinejad short of all out war. In early February, active American trained sabotage cells from the Mujahedeen-e Khalq (MEK) are smuggled into Iran along with deep penetration American special forces. Existing embedded opposition sabotage cells are ordered to continue with their active campaign of disruption (such as the possible sabotage of the Revolutionary Guards Falcon jet which killed nine generals).

It is now just after 2am on the morning of a weekday in late February. The people of Tehran are in bed. The heavy goods and construction lorries are trundling through the city as they are allowed to do at night. The occasional police car can be seen. Street lights are on and everything seems to be normal.

Suddenly the ground starts to shake violently; the lorries lose control swerving from side to side; buildings start to collapse; the lights flicker and go out. Earthquake! The severe shaking goes on for nearly a minute before it suddenly stops. Then, silence.

First light over the city of Tehran sees the city almost obscured by dust - a scene not dissimilar to New York after the collapse of the Twin Towers. Sirens can be heard wailing and it soon becomes clear to any surviving resident of Tehran that the city's skyline has been altered drastically.  Through the dust it would appear that virtually every high-raised building in the city has collapsed.

In America, the US Geological Survey (USGS), at their earthquake information centre in Colorado, monitor an earthquake in the area of Tehran of 6.7 on the Richter Scale. This is a big one. In December 2003 a similar sized earthquake (6.6) hit the ancient Iranian city of Bam leaving over 43,000 people dead.

In Geneva, the United Nations Office for the Co-ordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA), on receiving flash reports of the earthquake, sets into motion its well rehearsed procedures and immediately mobilises its Field Co-ordination Support Section.   Calls are put through to the Iranian Government in Tehran but all communications appear to be down.   The Iranian Ambassador to the UN in New York puts in a call to OCHA requesting immediate international help but admits that he has made this decision unilaterally as he too cannot get through to Iran. On the strength of this, a flash signal is then sent out from OCHA requesting the mobilisation of its member urban search and rescue (USAR) teams in countries all around the world.   In Bam, USAR teams from twenty different countries came in with their specialist equipment and dogs to help extricate survivors from the rubble - speed to get these teams into the disaster area is  absolutely essential.

Six hours after the earthquake and OCHA finally receives a request for international help from Tehran but it has come from a junior interior minister.   It is clear that the Iranian Government is not functioning properly and that the fate of the country’s president and many members of the Iranian regime is not known.

A few messages are now starting to get through from Iran to the international press agencies, Iranian embassies and OCHA.   Tehran's international airport is closed and frantic efforts are being made to open it.   Two of the main city hospitals have collapsed; there is no power and the only electricity is coming from emergency generators; and all roads and railways to and from the capital have been severely damaged - the city is effectively cut off from the rest of the country.  As well as this there are reports of very powerful aftershocks which are adding to the problems of the survivors.   Key people in the White House and the Pentagon are very satisfied.  Their scientists have successfully triggered a violent movement of the tectonic plates under Tehran - who is going to suspect this expected and tragic ‘Act of God’.

Twenty-four hours on and a global humanitarian relief effort has started. The international airport has been reopened and a nearby military air-base has also said it will receive incoming humanitarian flights.   Huge transport planes and civilian airliners packed with emergency relief are arriving from America, Russia, China and over thirty other countries.  USAR teams from six countries have arrived within 24 hours - an extremely good response time.   Many have been to Iran before and know what to expect.   However, the bureaucratic Red Tape that usually delays incoming humanitarian missions is strangely missing - indeed Iranian officials appear shocked and traumatised and emotional scenes are witnessed as international relief workers are mobbed by grateful but desperate Iranians who know their loved ones are probably trapped alive in the rubble of what used to be their homes.

It now appears, forty eight hours on, that Tehran has been devastated. The worst case scenario appears to have happened.   The initial death toll is already put at 10,000 but earthquake experts know that that figure will rise probably ten fold.   The President and nearly all of his administration have survived and Ahmadinejad has made a presidential speech to his country calling for calm and practical help for his beleaguered capital. The infrastructure of the city has been devastated. The Islamic Iranian Ground Forces (IIGF) has been trucked in and thousands of professional Iranians, doctors, engineers and the like, are heading to Tehran with lorry loads of emergency supplies. The White House and the Pentagon are extremely satisfied with developments.

Seven days on and the search and rescue phase of the operation is coming to a close.  The death toll is looking around the 120,000 mark with over 200,000 injured.  Thousands of Iranian soldiers are exhausted - they have been working frantically around the clock, with many having loved ones in the city.  The international teams are starting to leave, including the three USAR teams who came from America and who have earned the gratitude of the Iranian people by saving the lives of twelve people including three children.   It is now time for the Pentagon to put its plan into operation.

Using spy satellite intelligence as to the positions of key Iranian military units, as well receiving information from their special forces operating on the ground, the Pentagon will now choreograph, through their embedded agents, regional indigenous uprisings so as to achieve maximum disruption to the shattered Iranian regime.

Two days later, news agencies start to report of disturbances in the Khuzestan Province - the Governor there, with three of his bodyguards, has just been assassinated by a car bomb. Thousands have taken to the streets of Ahvaz demanding independence for the Ahwazi people and the restoration of Ahwaz or Arabistan as the Persians called it.  A nearby barracks was attacked by gunmen with mortars and machine guns and heavy casualties have been reported. Two oil pipelines have also exploded and reports are coming through of isolated attacks on Farsi oil workers and their families.

The next day sees reports of serious disturbances and civil unrest in Baluchistan as well as Iranian Kurdistan and Iranian Azerbaijan.  More disturbingly for the Iranian Government there has also been a reported armed clash between soldiers of the Revolutionary Guard and soldiers of a line unit of the IIGF involved with providing humanitarian relief to the people of Tehran.  With events now appearing to be escalating out of control, President Ahmadinejad has put out another appeal for calm and unity but Iranian observers, both inside and outside Iran, are talking of civil war between those who want a new beginning with a secular democratic republic of Iran and those who still believe in the revolution and the Islamic Republic.

Meanwhile in Khuzestan the situation is getting worse.  Reports start to come through of units of the elite Revolutionary Guard firing on demonstrators in Ahvaz with heavy casualties among the unarmed Ahwazi civilians.  More bombs have reportedly gone off in oil production areas and Farsi oil workers have come out on strike against the Government mainly because they and their families are not being protected properly.  A confirmed report has now come through that the death toll amongst the civilian Arab Ahwazis is put at over 300 with the situation getting worse by the hour as members of the Republican Guard appear to be out of control in their treatment of the Ahwazis.

The Security Council at the United Nations now meets in emergency session to discuss the worsening situation, especially as regards to the vulnerability of the Iranian nuclear installations and what should be done about them.   Ambassador Bolton takes everyone by surprise and announces that the U.S., with the full support of Great Britain, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Oman, Qatar, Kuwait and Egypt, will organise and send in a multinational or coalition force into Khuzestan in order to restore law and order and to restore the autonomous but democratic Arab state of Ahwaz or Arabistan.   An exclusion zone around what used to be Khuzestan is given to the Iranian Government and any Iranian forces found there will be attacked by coalition air and naval forces. The U.S. is now in effective control of 80% of Iran's oil and gas wealth!

No public decision is made at the UN about the nuclear installations but the IAEA, in secret talks with the Pentagon, eventually authorises the coalition forces to send in large airborne forces (U.S. 82nd and 101st Divisions plus UK and Arab contributions), backed up by strong close air support, to seize control of the main nuclear installations at Natanz, Arak, Ardekan and Isfahan once it is clear that there is no proper Iranian Government in control. Nuclear scientists will accompany the airborne forces and will 'make safe' these installations and so prevent any furtherance by Iran towards having nuclear weapons.

This is where my Scenario ends - the neocons will not be accused for what appears to be an appalling, but totally expected, Act of God (except of course by some conspiracy researchers using the Alternative Media) and their rapid humanitarian response to send USAR teams and medical supplies to help the survivors will be applauded.  The events following the earthquake will be seen as having put paid to Iran's nuclear ambitions and will have resulted in 80% of Iran's oil falling into the hands of a new U.S. puppet state, though this will be seen as spreading even more democracy in the Middle East.   Meanwhile, George Bush's standing and popularity at home will be restored considerably as his Middle East strategy appears to be working.  And the global War on Terror is now going America's way..........well, for now at any rate, until the next time the neocons/illuminati/zionists/new world order want to advance their agenda for Global Government and feel the need for some more synthetic terrorism to 'win us over'!

PS. An interesting postscript:  I came across a map of ‘The Bernard Lewis (champion of and guru for the NeoCon/Zionist Agenda) plan for the Middle East’. And guess what?  He has created a new country called Arabistan except its boundaries go further along Iran's coast to include nearly all of Iran's oil and gas wealth. Now there’s a surprise.

http://www.rense.com/1.imagesH/Bernard.gif

(Bernard Lewis map of the Middle East)


Justin attended an Earthquake Conference in Tehran in 1999 where he presented a Paper on International Disaster Response Mechanisms - a subject he has specialised in for nearly fifteen years.  For ten years he was an officer in the British Territorial Army in a light reconnaissance regiment trained in counter-terrorism.  He is currently an activist in the British and Irish 9/11 Truth Movement.   He can be reached at:  jrgwalker@aol.com

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Ally
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 17, 2006 1:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Halliburton provided Iran with key nuclear reactor components
8/10/2005 8:11:00 AM GMT

Halliburton, the scandal-plagued oil company, that Vice President Dick Cheney used to run, sold an Iranian company key components for a nuclear reactor, Halliburton sources revealed.

Cheney was CEO from 1995 to 2000, during which Halliburton Products and Services set up shop in Iran.
http://www.aljazeera.com/cgi-bin/conspiracy_theory/fullstory.asp?id=24 4


January Saturday 14th 2006 (17h53) :
PNAC WAR MONGERS FRAMING IRAN WITH AID OF COMPLICIT MEDIA

Here we go again . The war drums are beating . The New York Times is spewing forth yet more baloney . Judith Miller is gone but James Risen has taken her place as Chief Correspondent for the Neocon War Party and it’s The Toilet Paper of Record . Risen claims that Iran has been pursuing the dreaded nuke for the past twenty years . Oh Really? Where are they hiding this programme? For the past three years , The International Atomic Energy Association has scowered the country from one end to the other and have obtained no authentic evidence that the Iranians harbor such diabolical intentions. The only "evidence" gathered so far was planted on the Iranian delegate to the IAEA by a Russian defector , an asset of the CIA. In Miller - like fashion , Risen claimed these documents were a "blue print for a nuclear weapon ". It was actually a blue print for a fire set designed for the creation of Russian designed nuclear weapon. Couple this development with the fact that the Cheney-controlled CIA has obtained and disseminated to our allies their ever reliable "intelligence " that the Russian are covertly aiding the Iranians in construction of a nuke at the fearsome Bushr nuclear power plant and another frame-up of an Islamist nation -targetted for destruction- is hiding in plain view. "Judy" Risen called the fire set design one of the most secretly guarded secrets in the world . Bull S**T. Blue prints for a fire set have been previously obtained by the Iraqis by acessing readily available public information. There is ample precedent for this type of chicanery . A similiar stunt was pulled when the ever gullible - or complicit - IAEA discovered drawings and blueprints of an early model Chinese nuke handed over to the UN Agency by the country of Libya. Meanwhile the only country in the Middle East that actually has nukes, 400 of them to be specific , some pointed at Tehran, flout the international comunity , refusing any inspections of their nuke weaons facilty in Dimona.

http://bellaciao.org/en/article.php3?id_article=9884
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 21, 2006 9:58 pm    Post subject: giving them ideas Reply with quote

I hope Justin's not giving them ideas.

Noel
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2006 11:46 am    Post subject: infiltration of peace movement and feebleness over Iran Reply with quote

Rory Winter has asked us to publicise widely an e-mail from him posing the question of why the peace movement is not working flat out to halt an imminent nuclear attack on Iran. I post his e-mail below.

Since it raises the question of why the peace movement is not more effective, I believe it is time to look at that issue.

We should expect the peace movement to be infiltrated by the security services. If it were not, MI5 would not be doing its job properly.

I have been informed that the SWP is heavily infiltrated by MI5. That should be no surprise. Moreover the SWP is a major component in the Stop the War Coalition and in the Respect Coalition. That is not to say there are not many genuine people within all of these organisations, including the SWP, doing their best to oppose war. But, given the current political climate, we should expect MI5 and other agencies to be present among all those who seek to oppose the the US/UK agressive alliance.

We should expect to find such infiltration within the 911 Truth Movement in this country too; though I must say, I haven't noticed any yet. I have been wrned that infiltrators come in two kinds: reporters, who turn up to meetings and sit quietly making notes; and opinion formers who have plenty to say, seek to gain people's confidence and to sway meetings away from policies which would seriously challenge the government's plans. We should expect to find such people within the Stop the War Coalition, for example saying things like:

"911 is a red herring. It'll detract from our main aim of ending the war in Iraq."

I think it is timely to warn about infiltration, but I do not, repeat NOT, think we should go in for any kind of witch-hunt among our supporters, otherwise we shall all end up suspecting each other and making accusations which cannot be proved. That way lies the road to this movement fragmenting into mutual recrimination, as has happened among our US comrades.

Of course another possible reason for feebleness within the peace movement over Iran, is that we don't know what exactly is being planned. Justin describes one possible scenario; Rory another.

And here is Rory's warning. We should heed them both.

Noel

---------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------

please circulate far & wide

PREPARE TO DEFEND THE PEOPLE OF IRAN FROM A NUCLEAR ATTACK!

It is not my wish to act like a doomsayer or to alarm anyone unnecesarily. In the dark times we live that would be a cruel and unforgivable thing to do.

The western countries have, in the most cynical fashion, chosen to demonize and persecute the Islamic world, to turn it into a new "menace" (now that the "Red Menace" no longer exists) in order to justify to their peoples a state of "permanent war". It is a very frightening situation in which all the people of this planet now find themselves. In my opinion, and in the growing awareness of many others, the new 21st Century imperialism we now face is already just as bad as the nazism of Hitler's Third Reich.

This is the time of the Fourth Reich.

Some of you will know that the gangster regime presently running the USA is now planning, along with the cooperation of NATO (including the UK) and Israel, a pre-emptive (first strike) attack on Iran. This attack will probably be to destroy Iran's nuclear reactors and air defences. Most of these defence systems are buried in hardened shelters, deep underground. They are built specifically to withstand the heaviest assault by conventional weapons so what the US intends to use against them are so-called 'tactical mini-nukes', nuclear missile warheads of an explosive yield of anything between half to four or five times the size of the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.

These mini-nukes are intended to pierce the earth before exploding. Not only would such weapons leave huge open craters but they would still cause immense devastation to the surrounding area. It is impossible to believe that such devstation will not spread into civilian towns and cities. Moreover, the massive radioactive clouds these weapons will cause will blow across the planet, carrying deadly radiation to many other countries. The annual monsoon weather could carry radioactive clouds south-eastwards and, as a previous message has already warned, this could mean Pakistan, India, Sri Lanka and parts of SE Asia will be affected.

I find the prospect of such a thing happening so horrific that, these days, waking up every day feels like waking up into a nightmare world. But a nightmare world is precisely what these madmen have created. It is time that all sane, decent folk stand up against this unspeakable insanity and say, "Enough! Stop!"

You would think that organizations in the UK like the Stop the War Coalition and CND would be working 24/7 to alert the people of the UK to this serious danger. But they seem to be so shocked by the terrible belligerence of Washington DC's war-makers that they have turned into so many tiny rabbits being mesmerized by a great cobra. At the moment, all we are hearing from the Peace Movement is an ominous silence. This silence needs to be broken and broken now. A lot of time has already been wasted. Let no one waste another second.

That is why I am now appealing to you. At the moment, it appears there are only a few individuals who are ringing the alarm-bells. But everything starts in a small way.

Speaking to you from my heart, I have every faith in the tremendous potential of human communities everywhere to work for Peace and the New World that is surely coming. But time is running very short. The proposed attack on Iran is in March 2006.

There isn't very much time. But instead of being paralyzed by fear and powerlessness think what you can do in the name of Mother Earth. And then do it!

For those who want more evidence that my warnings are not false, please consult the Medialens archives at http://www.medialens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1320
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2006 12:09 pm    Post subject: Stop the War - March 18-19 Reply with quote

Originally posted in reply to Ian Neal's posting under 'Campaigning':

I apologise for the multiple posting of the following item. My justification is that it is highly relevant in the light of the previous posting under this particular thread. Additionally, I have yet to see any other practical proposals for achieving 'Real Impact'!

So, the Blair Government has permitted another 'Stop the War' on March 18-19. Permitting the march to take place is necessary to maintaining the facade of an ersatz democracy.

At least one million people protested against UK participation in the invasion of Iraq ........ the media reported that there were maybe 50,000 people on parade.

Tony Blair took absolutely no notice whatsoever and sent the British troops into an illegal war. Why didn't Tony take any notice? Mainly because the protest was no more than a 'token gesture'.

OK, so a million people hit the streets in London alone and were joined by many millions more in towns and cities around the world .......... but it was still no more than a 'token protest'!

Protest marches that take place at the weekend are of minimal consequence. Police and other emergency service personnel benefit from a few hours of overtime, the train, bus and coach companies make a few extra bucks 'cos a million people want to be in London, food vendors do very well but in terms of overall effect, the impact on Goverment is zip .... zilch...... nada (for Government read Tony Blair - the Cabinet is inconsequential). Everybody has a great day and feels good that they made the effort to join the march .......but in the overall scheme of things? It matters not a jot!

So how do we change this? Whether 10,000, 100,000 or one million people turn up to protest in March (by this time the attack on Iran will be imminent!), they need to be prepared to stay there ....... until Tony takes real notice. Go with backpacks loaded with sandwiches, snacks, fruit and water ......... as much as you can carry. Be prepared to share what you have with your fellow marchers but be ready to stay for two, three, .....seven ..... ten days and then some. Stay in London for however long it takes. Imagine this scenario repeated across the world? Do you think that it might get some attention?

Alternatively? Have a nice day out in London ........ then go home and watch the NeoCon psychopaths and puppet Tony launch another illegal war ........ in your name and in the name of feedom and democracy.

Two million people took to the streets of Madrid after the bombings on March 11, 2004. An estimated ten million took to the streets across Spain. The goverment was defeated in the general election which followed shortly afterwards and Spanish troops were subsequently removed from the coalition of the (un)willing.

Peaceful protest can make a difference and the difference will be directly proportional to the determination of the people to make their voices heard.

Please also bear in mind that due to the determination of Tony Blair to continue with his quest to introduce more and more restrictive legislation, this may be one of the last chances that the British public has to express the strength of public opinion via the medium of peaceful protest.

Al K Myst
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2006 1:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I think this begs the question:

"How much of a sacrifice can we make or are we prepared to make?"

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PostPosted: Sun Jan 22, 2006 2:17 pm    Post subject: Asking the tough questions! Reply with quote

Andrew,

you have just asked the sixty four million dollar question!

Are you content with 'asking the tough questions' or are you prepared to defend (peacefully, of course) your right to keep asking those questions?

The coming attack on Iran (my money is on March 21 for the first strike) will be just two days after the Stop the War events in London on March 18-19. This event may either be the final opportunity for a one-day out-pouring of public expression, which will have zero bearing on Tony's sheep-like support of his ahrimanic buddy .......... or it could become the catalyst for geo-political sanity.

There is brief window of opportunity to influence the post 3/21 world. The tough question is, "Do the people of the United Kindom want to take that opportunity?"

Al K Myst
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 23, 2006 6:37 pm    Post subject: Lobbying Parliament Reply with quote

LOBBYING PARLIAMENT

There's a VERY EASY and FREE way to fax and email your parliamentary representatives. Prepare a draft letter and fax/email it to them using the services provided at http://www.writetothem.com/ and http://www.locata.co.uk/commons/

You will find a comprehensive list of all MPs, MEPs etc at WriteToThem once you tap in yr postcode.

I have done this already and posted the text below to 18 MPs, including Scots MSPs and constituency MEPs. You can do the same, ensuring their fax machines and email inboxes get flooded with letters of concern. Use the text below if you like, modifying it as you wish.

Finally, please circulate this information far and wide.

Best,

"Aqabal13"

---------------------------------------------------------------------- -------------
Dear MP, MEP etc,

As one of your constituents, may I draw your attention to the intention of the US military to use so-called 'tactical mini-nukes' and nuclear 'city-busters' in a pre-emptive (first strike) attack on Iran?

The evidence is clear enough : a statement from Strategic Command has effectively confirmed ex-CIA agent Philip Giraldi’s claim in The American Conservative( 1st August 2005) that Cheney had requested that STRATCOM prepare for nuclear strikes against Iran (See Nuclear War against Iran- Michel Chossudovsky, 3rd January at globalresearch.ca).

A nuclear attack on Iran would be a crime of inconceivable proportions with totally unpredictable outcomes. It would be opposed by Russia, as well as China, contrary to mendacious press reports from those who have an obvious motive in convincing us otherwise.

Are MPs in (Westminster etc) aware of this danger? Probably no more than the public at large where the level of awareness at present is alarmingly low.

I would therefore be grateful if you and the (your party) can do everything possible in the next few weeks to come to alert the people of Scotland and the UK to this danger. If such an attack were to be carried-out, HMG must have no involvement in it whatsoever.

Further to that can you please ensure that your party confronts Mr Blair with this danger and challenges him and his government to have nothing to do with any US attack, apropos of which the US should not be permitted to use British bases in any way.

As the likely time of such an attack is next March there is little time left to act.

Yours sincerely,

NAME

PS For further information on the proposed military attack on Iran, refer to the Medialens archive,

'Bush/Cheney, US War Doctrine & Plans to Nuke Iran'
http://www.medialens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1320

Also:

Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran
by Michel Chossudovsky
http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO505A.html

Nuclear War against Iran
by Michel Chossudovsky
http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context=viewArticle&code=%20CH2 0060103&articleId=1714

Chimes of Freedom blog, http://chimesofreedom.blogspot.com/

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2006 4:54 am    Post subject: WAS EVERYTHING WE DID A TOTAL WASTE OF TIME? Reply with quote

http://chimesofreedom.blogspot.com/
WAS EVERYTHING WE DID A TOTAL WASTE OF TIME?



As a peace campaigner from the 'eighties, one of the questions I keep asking myself is: given the imminent threat of nuclear war in the Middle East why is the UK peace movement unable to replicate the effectiveness of the '80s?

We can find all kinds of reasons for this, including the mistaken priority that both CND and the Stop the War Coalition (STWC) appear to put on solely organizing annual demonstrations. Demos have their place but more important to a peace movement is the need to conduct a permanent lobbying campaign aimed at all sectors of society. The success of a peace movement would, in itself, lead to such changes as to be a kind of revolution. Dr King recognized that but unlike him the current 'Anti War' Movement appears to put political posturings ahead of long-term peace activities. Too many sectarian politicos playing games.

The more I study the documentation freely available on the Net from organizations such as Global Research, another important distinction between 'then' and 'now' occurs to me.

In the 'eighties it was those such as the radical historian, Edward Thompson, who were able to analyze US/NATO military strategy and publicize the alarming findings: the USA had moved away from the nuclear stalemate of Mutual Assured Destruction (MAD) to a new, aggressive first-strike posture. Coupled together with the AIR-LAND BATTLE scenario of a 'European Theatre of War' this was enough to scare the bejeezus out of enough of us as to produce what has been described as the largest peace movement in recorded history.

Following the collapse of the Soviet Union (resulting in part due to its inability to keep up with Ronny Raygun's unilateral arms race) fears of a nuclear war in Europe disappeared from the horizon. Clinton, it appears, did not entertain the use of 'tactical' nuclear weapons in a 'limited theatre war'. The use of first-strike 'tactical' nukes was revived by the Straussian 'neo-con' Strangeloves as part of their essential armoury to fight a 'permanent war' whose blueprint --far from a "war against terrorism"-- is an ongoing imperialist battle for global conquest, the PROJECT FOR A NEW AMERICAN CENTURY.

The PNAC, when linked to current US global war strategy, provides a practical military blizkrieg doctrine which would leave Adolf Hitler green with envy: global military domination and control of all the planet's natural resources in the interests of an increasingly totalitarian USA.

Since the illegal take-over of the US administration by the Bush/Cheney cabal, the 'neocons' through Cheney and Rumsfeld have been beavering away at implementing the PNAC's objectives by so altering US military war strategy as to more easily accomodate them. Bear in mind that the PNAC's priorities hinge very much on the ability to fight and rapidly win resource wars, the key resource being Oil.

Hence Irak. Then Iran.

But Iran, being a tougher nut to crack has required the USA to first encircle it geopolitically with a spider's web involving the NATO countries, Israel and a new alliance with recently independent members of the ex-USSR. At the same time, it has been playing a relentless chess-game in order to isolate Iran through the International Atomic Energy Authority (IAEA) and the UN Security Council as a step not only towards economic sanctions but in order to remove Iran's right to be protected from nuclear attack.

Once Iran has been successfully isolated then the way is open for an attack by the USA and Israel with the full cooperation of the NATO countries, including France, Germany, Turkey and the UK. Permission for such an attack was given by Bush last June. An attack in which NATO would be fully complicit could occur anytime.

NATO complicity is what makes things so different. Because the strategic war-plans are now so altered as to include the optional use of nuclear weapons in attacks against smaller countries like Iran, nuclear war is very much in the offing. March 2006 is the likely 'window of opportunity'.

Meantime, what is the Anti-War Coalition's response? Three words on their website's headline banner, "Dont attack Iran". THREE words with a brief mention inside its new leaflet "The US and Britain are plotting new aggression - against Iran above all. The war could spread and it could become a nuclear war."

COULD become a nuclear war? Hey someone, quickly explain to them what current US strategy is based upon!

As for CND's website, it carries nary a word about Iran. If this is the peace movement today then God help us all.

Poor Edward Thompson must be turning in his grave bawling, "will someone please knock their heads together! Don't any of them understand or care what's happening? Was everything we did in the 'eighties a total waste of time?"

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PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2006 10:47 am    Post subject: The UK population has lost the appetite for protest Reply with quote

Since posting the proposal that everyone attending Stop the War weekend (March 18-19) should be prepared to stay in London until Tony Blair acknowledges that the British public will not support any US/Israeli led attack on Iran; I have mailed the text of the posting to almost 200 contacts within the Stop the War Coalition and CND.

Unfortunately, almost one-third of the Emails have been returned due to either the Email address being no longer in use or the recipients Inbox is full!

To date, just two people have responded ......... both of whom have intimated that they do not believe that the British public have the conviction to maintain any kind of sustained political protest.

If this is indicative of the British Public, it would seem that the state now has a free hand to launch or participate in illegal wars without fear of dissent. Like many others who have researched the geo-political ambitions on the NeoCon Cabal, I believe that the first-strike on Iran is scheduled for March 21 (3/21), just two days after the Stop the War weekend in London. If there are still 100,000+ people still in London when the attack commences, Tony might just hesitate from commiting British troops into another illegal war.

Of course, there is always the possibility that he might not give a damn and simply declare martial law to disperse the protesters.

I plan to spend the next two months doing whatever I can to ensure that the March 18-19 weekend is more than just an opportunity for a few hours of Police overtime. If anyone else is interested in participating in this activity, please contact me with any ideas or proposals that you may have for making the 'Stop the War' a meaningful and catalytic event.

Al K Myst
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 24, 2006 11:10 am    Post subject: Your call Reply with quote

TRUTH does not negotiate with LIES

Navy: Please divert your course 15 degrees to the north to avoid collision.

Civilian: Recommend you divert your course 15 degrees to the south to avoid collision.

Navy: This is the Captain of a U.S. Navy ship. I say again, divert your course.

Civilian: No. I say again, divert YOUR course.

Navy: THIS IS THE AIRCRAFT CARRIER ENTERPRISE. WE ARE A LARGE WARSHIP OF THE UNITED STATES NAVY. DIVERT YOUR COURSE NOW!

Civilian: This is a lighthouse. Your call.

No military might, however awesome, can withstand the power of TRUTH and every illusion, however grand, eventually runs up against reality.

If you're waging war against TRUTH, this is a wakeup call. TRUTH does not negotiate with lies and TRUTH takes no prisoners.

Your call.
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PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2006 10:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Wondered why we are sending so many troops to Afghanistan? Maybe an attack on Iran is imminent - Iran is only next door.

This * piece of propaganda makes my blood boil.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/4653008.stm

Quote:
Outlining the original purpose of the UK's presence in Afghanistan, Mr Reid said: "The reason we are doing this is to protect the British people from the sort of attacks we saw murdering thousands of people in the Twin Towers in New York.

"That was launched, prepared, trained for in Afghanistan by the terrorists, so by doing this our soldiers are protecting our interests here."


John Reid has spoken of the need to stamp out the poppy growing region of Helmand in South West Afghanistan and that's why the troops are needed. Well according to this article below, the region is under control and only non-military means are required to resolve further problems.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0516/p07s01-wosc.html

Quote:
"Farmers do not need poppy if the government and the foreign donors will support the traditional cash crops," says Richard Scott, a former USAID agricultural expert who has just finished a six-month project to renovate irrigation canals in Afghanistan's Helmand Province.

Over the past decade, the Helmand valley has become Afghanistan's primary opium growing area, but Mr. Scott says that farmers have no particular fondness for poppies. "The farmers are fairly direct in what they want, and it is not necessarily poppy in Helmand. What they need is a better price for cotton at the government-run cotton gin, so that they can make a living from a legal crop."


So why a 7 fold increase in troop numbers? Surely it can only mean one thing. Let's not forget what it says on p17 of Rebuilding America's Defences.

Quote:
Over the long term, Iran may well prove as large a threat to U.S. interests in the Gulf as Iraq has. And even should U.S.-Iranian relations improve, retaining forward-based forces in the region would still be an essential element in U.S. security strategy given the longstanding American interests in the region.


Basically, Iran is next on the list and it will be attacked.
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PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2006 11:02 pm    Post subject: AN URGENT CALL TO THE GRASS ROOTS Reply with quote

AN URGENT CALL TO THE GRASS ROOTS



Last December, a small but effectively organized group of individuals (Campaign Iran) succeeded in passing unanimously a resolution to commit the UK anti-war movement to campaign actively against the danger of any military intervention against Syria or Iran.

The venue was the International Peace Conference, organized by the UK Stop the War Coalition.

So what has happened since then?

Precisely nothing it would appear, give or take a few extremely minimal gestures in a pamphlet featured at the head of the STW's national website. As usual, the UK Anti-War movement is leading from behind.

Unaware of the significance of the Bush/Cheney/Blair troika's doctrine of "permanent war", unconvinced that what we are now facing is nothing less than a Hitlerite rolling agression which even the US Department of Defense predicts will blight the Planet over the next 20 years, they remain stubbornly in denial of the nightmare realities we are now facing.

If the prevailing ethic of our US anti-war colleagues is coloured by the traditional 'Can Do' attitude associated with North America, then what we are currently facing in the UK is its opposite 'Cannot Do' with everyone expecting someone else to do the hard work.

Are we to watch radioactive mushroom clouds billow over Iran before anyone lifts a voice in protest?


There ARE folk who are extremely concerned but feeling quite disempowered. It looks like we're going to have to build something up from the grass-roots. Well, sobeit. That's what happened 25 years ago so maybe again.

Whatever happens in March and, failing our ability to stop it, may it take an 'Act of God' to prevent the proposed attack. Will the US generals have enough courage or ability to prevent mad dog Cheney from pushing the button? Would that the US Congress use its emergency powers to prevent their usurper, rogue 'President' from abusing his?

However, there IS something you can do, dear reader, and that is to alert your own communities and your politicians to what a US/Israeli attack on Iran really means. Read my column below for details on what YOU can do, wherever you are.

Good Luck and All Power to You!

_______________________________________________________

For UK, US and Australian Readers

There's a VERY EASY and FREE way to fax and email your parliamentary representatives.

Prepare a draft letter and fax/email it to them using the services provided at http://www.writetothem.com/ and http://www.locata.co.uk/commons/

You will find a comprehensive list of all MPs, MEPs etc at WriteToThem once you tap in yr postcode. I have done this already and posted the text below to 18 MPs, including MSPs and constituency MEPs. You can do the same ensuring their fax machines and email inboxes get flooded with letters of concern. Use the text below if you like, modifying it as you wish.

Finally, please circulate this information far and wide.

Kosmik

Similar facilities must exist for other countries. With your help, I will publish these hyperlinks as and when I discover them.

USA: Please use the CONTACTING THE CONGRESS Online Directory at http://www.visi.com/juan/congress/[/url]

AUSTRALIA: FREE FAX AUSTRALIAN FEDERAL POLITICIANS, http://www.geocities.com/CapitolHill/Lobby/5165/

**************************************************

Dear MP,

As one of your constituents, may I draw your attention to the intention of the US military to use so-called 'tactical mini-nukes' and nuclear 'city-busters' in a pre-emptive (first strike) attack on Iran?

The evidence is clear enough : a statement from Strategic Command has effectively confirmed ex-CIA agent Philip Giraldi’s claim in The American Conservative( 1st August 2005) that Cheney had requested that STRATCOM prepare for nuclear strikes against Iran (See Nuclear War against Iran- Michel Chossudovsky, 3rd January at globalresearch.ca).

A nuclear attack on Iran would be a crime of inconceivable proportions with totally unpredictable outcomes. It would be opposed by Russia, as well as China, contrary to mendacious press reports from those who have an obvious motive in convincing us otherwise.

Are MPs in (Westminster etc) aware of this danger? Probably no more than the public at large where the level of awareness at present is alarmingly low.

I would therefore be grateful if you and (your party) can do everything possible in the next few weeks to come to alert the people of the UK to this danger. If such an attack were to be carried-out, HMG must have no involvement in it whatsoever.

Further to that can you please ensure that your party confronts Mr Blair with this danger and challenges him and his government to have nothing to do with any US attack, apropos of which the US should not be permitted to use British bases in any way.

As the likely time of such an attack is next March there is little time left to act.

Yours sincerely,

NAME

PS For further information on the proposed military attack on Iran, refer to the Medialens archive,

'Bush/Cheney, US War Doctrine & Plans to Nuke Iran'
http://www.medialens.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=1320

Also:

Planned US-Israeli Attack on Iran
by Michel Chossudovsky
http://www.globalresearch.ca/articles/CHO505A.html

Nuclear War against Iran
by Michel Chossudovsky
http://urlsnip.com/720857

Chimes of Freedom blog, http://chimesofreedom.blogspot.com/

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PostPosted: Sat Jan 28, 2006 5:06 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

The Taliban destroyed 90% of the poppy fields in Afghanistan (verified by the UN, and other organisations). Now that the NA is in power, the poppies are all back and the drug trade is in full swing. No doubt the CIA are taking advantage...
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 28, 2006 5:18 pm    Post subject: India changes tune, defends Iran Reply with quote

NEW DELHI, Jan 27: India on Friday distanced itself from US-led calls to isolate Iran at next week’s meeting of the IAEA after controversial remarks on the issue by Washington’s envoy to Delhi enraged the nation as seldom seen before.---

http://www.dawn.com/2006/01/28/top2.htm
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PostPosted: Sat Jan 28, 2006 5:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Iran is far from defenceless. An airforce with a mixture of US and Russian-built planes, Russian SAMs (soon to be including SA-15s). As well as a significant standing army. It wont fall over like Iraq.
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 29, 2006 2:00 pm    Post subject: control of oilfields the biggest factor Reply with quote

Asia Times article arguing that the major reason for a US attack on Iran is control of the oilfields rather than fears about the effect on the dollar of a change to trading in Euros

http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/HA21Ak01.html
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PostPosted: Sun Jan 29, 2006 2:02 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

No suprise there then. There is already US military hegemony over 90% of the world's oil and gas resources.
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2006 10:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Interesting article on how a new 9/11 might be used to stimulate the introduction of the military draft to aid the attack on Iran.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/1/29/144031/104
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PostPosted: Wed Feb 01, 2006 10:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

James C wrote:
Interesting article on how a new 9/11 might be used to stimulate the introduction of the military draft to aid the attack on Iran.

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2006/1/29/144031/104


Wont be that easy to pull this off, surely?

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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 12:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

You know, the Burma, Myanmar, story of the country pulling its capital city out of the long existing Rangoon, 200 miles north to some marshland site
All the apparatus of government, in the expectation that the May-October monsoon will wash down on Rangoon the Chernobyl-style cloud emitted from the US/Israel missile attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 12:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

dh wrote:
You know, the Burma, Myanmar, story of the country pulling its capital city out of the long existing Rangoon, 200 miles north to some marshland site
All the apparatus of government, in the expectation that the May-October monsoon will wash down on Rangoon the Chernobyl-style cloud emitted from the US/Israel missile attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities


Since when did the Burmese become concerned about the Iran situation? Confused

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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 12:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

sr4470 wrote:
dh wrote:
You know, the Burma, Myanmar, story of the country pulling its capital city out of the long existing Rangoon, 200 miles north to some marshland site
All the apparatus of government, in the expectation that the May-October monsoon will wash down on Rangoon the Chernobyl-style cloud emitted from the US/Israel missile attacks on Iran's nuclear facilities


Since when did the Burmese become concerned about the Iran situation? Confused


Since they learnt from the Chinese that the likelihood of the prevaling winds and Monsoon season would make Rangoon and surrounding areas uninhabitable due to radioactive fallout from the attacks on Irans nuclear facilities eg
http://www.endtimesreport.com/Attack_on_Iran.html
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 4:33 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

dh wrote:
Since they learnt from the Chinese that the likelihood of the prevaling winds and Monsoon season would make Rangoon and surrounding areas uninhabitable due to radioactive fallout from the attacks on Irans nuclear facilities eg
http://www.endtimesreport.com/Attack_on_Iran.html


Seems a tad premature, they seem to know something definite...

I dont think they (US\Israel) will be charging into Iran too quickly, even the Israelis are worried that the new missile system will make flying bombing missions much more difficult.

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ian neal
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 6:27 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I agree SR. There are whole range of possible and probable scenarios and time frames regarding Iran from the ptb promoting a 'velvet revolution' to nuclear armageddon within the next few weeks. Just because nuclear armageddon is bouncing around, don't make it so. Iran is a very different proposition (militarily) to Iraq.
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James C
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 8:17 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Iran will not be a simple target. I agree totally with ian that it is very different from Iraq. One overriding problem for Bush, apart from a lack of troops and moral support for an attack worldwide, is the fact that Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz. This section of water is the main shipping route for nearly all of the Persian Gulf oil and that's most of the oil in the world. Iran could cut that or attack ships passing through it straight away. If it does, then forget going to work and start buying provisions to keep you and your family going for several weeks because if the oil stops then so do we. Sorry to go an about oil - I know its been much discussed elsewhere.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strait_of_Hormuz
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sr4470
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PostPosted: Thu Feb 02, 2006 8:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

A repeat of the "Tanker wars" of the 80s certainly seems possible, James.

Speaking of which, the referral of Iran to the UN Security Council is likely to happen tomorrow.

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xmasdale
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 03, 2006 11:12 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

This arrived in my inbox

Noel

> > Plans for Iran
> > Mike Whitney
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > February 1, 2006
> >
> > In less than 24 hours the Bush administration has won impressive
victories
> > on both domestic and foreign policy fronts. At home, the far-right
> > Federalist Society alum, Sam Alito, has overcome the feeble resistance
> > from Democratic senators; ensuring his confirmation to the Supreme Court
> > sometime late on Tuesday. Equally astonishing, the administration has
> > coerced both Russia and China into bringing Iran before the United
Nations
> > Security Council although (as Mohamed ElBaradei says) "There's no
evidence
> > of a nuclear weapons program." The surprising capitulation of Russia and
> > China has forced Iran to abandon its efforts for further negotiations;
> > cutting off dialogue that might diffuse the volatile situation.
> >
> > "We consider any referral or report of Iran to the Security Council as
the
> > end of diplomacy," Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National
> > Security Council, told state television.
> >
> > The administration's success with Iran ends the diplomatic charade and
> > paves the way for war. Now, UN Ambassador John Bolton can make his
> > appearance before the Security Council with allegations of
"noncompliance"
> > that will rattle through the corporate media and prepare the world for
> > unilateral military action.
> >
> > The administration has no expectation of securing the votes needed for
> > sanctions or punitive action. The trip to the Security Council is simply
a
> > ploy to provide the cover of international legitimacy to another act of
> > unprovoked aggression. The case has gone as far as it will go excluding
> > the requisite "touched up" satellite photos and spurious allegations of
> > unreliable dissidents.
> >
> > We should now be focused on how Washington intends to carry out its war
> > plans, since war is inevitable.
> >
> > Those who doubt that the Bush-Cheney-Rumsfeld team will attack Iran,
while
> > so conspicuously overextended in Iraq, are ignoring the subtleties of
the
> > administration's Middle East strategy.
> >
> > Bush has no intention of occupying Iran. Rather, the goal is to destroy
> > major weapons-sites, destabilize the regime, and occupy a sliver of land
> > on the Iraqi border that contains 90% of Iran's oil wealth. Ultimately,
> > Washington will aim to replace the Mullahs with American-friendly
clients
> > who can police their own people and fabricate the appearance of
> > representative government. But, that will have to wait. For now, the
> > administration must prevent the incipient Iran bourse (oil-exchange)
from
> > opening in March and precipitating a global sell-off of the debt-ridden
> > dollar. There have many fine articles written about the proposed
> > "euro-based" bourse and the devastating effects it will have on the
> > greenback. The best of these are "Petrodollar Warfare: Oil, Iraq and the
> > Future of the Dollar" by William R. Clark, and "The Proposed Oil Bourse"
> > by Krassimir Petrov, Ph.D.
> >
> > The bottom line on the bourse is this; the dollar is underwritten by a
> > national debt that now exceeds $8 trillion dollars and trade deficits
that
> > surpass $600 billion per year. That means that the greenback is the
> > greatest swindle in the history of mankind. It's utterly worthless. The
> > only thing that keeps the dollar afloat is that oil is traded
exclusively
> > in greenbacks rather than some other currency. If Iran is able to smash
> > that monopoly by trading in petro-euros then the world's central banks
> > will dump the greenback overnight, sending markets crashing and the US
> > economy into a downward spiral.
> >
> > The Bush administration has no intention of allowing that to take place.
> > In fact, as the tax-cuts and the budget deficits indicate, the Bush
cabal
> > fully intends to perpetuate the system that trades worthless dollars for
> > valuable commodities, labor, and resources. As long as the oil market is
> > married to the dollar, this system of global indentured servitude will
> > continue.
> >
> > Battle Plans
> >
> > The Bush administration's attention has shifted to a small province in
> > southwestern Iran that is unknown to most Americans. Never the less,
> > Khuzestan will become the next front in the war on terror and the
lynchpin
> > for prevailing in the global resource war. If the Bush administration
can
> > sweep into the region (under the pretext disarming Iran's nuclear
> > programs) and put Iran's prodigious oil wealth under US control, the
dream
> > of monopolizing Middle East oil will have been achieved.
> >
> > Not surprisingly, this was Saddam Hussein's strategy in 1980 when he
> > initiated hostilities against Iran in a war that would last for eight
> > years. Saddam was an American client at the time, so it is likely that
he
> > got the green light for the invasion from the Reagan White House. Many
of
> > Reagan's high-ranking officials currently serve in the Bush
> > administration; notably Rumsfeld and Cheney.
> >
> > Khuzestan represents 90% of Iran's oil production. The control over
these
> > massive fields will force the oil-dependent nations of China, Japan and
> > India to continue to stockpile greenbacks despite the currency's dubious
> > value. The annexing of Khuzestan will prevent Iran's bourse from
opening,
> > thereby guaranteeing that the dollar will maintain its dominant position
> > as the world's reserve currency. As long as the dollar reigns supreme
and
> > western elites have their hands on the Middle East oil-spigot, the
current
> > system of exploitation through debt will continue into perpetuity. The
> > administration can confidently prolong its colossal deficits without
fear
> > of a plummeting dollar. In fact, the American war-machine and all its
> > various appendages, from Guantanamo to Abrams Tanks, are paid for by the
> > myriad nations who willingly hold reserves of American currency.
> >
> > This extortion-scheme is typically referred to as the global economic
> > system. In reality, it has nothing to do with either free markets or
> > capitalism. That is just philosophical mumbo-jumbo. This is the
> > dollar-system; predicated entirely on the ongoing monopoly of the oil
> > trade in dollars.
> >
> > Invading Khuzestan
> >
> > In a recent article by Zolton Grossman, "Khuzestan; the First Front in
the
> > War on Iran?", Grossman cites the Beirut Daily Star which predicts that
> > the ""first step taken by an invading force would be to occupy Iran's
> > oil-rich Khuzestan Province, securing the sensitive Straits of Hormuz
and
> > cutting off the Iranian military's oil supply, forcing it to depend on
its
> > limited stocks."
> >
> > This strategy has been called the "Khuzestan Gambit", and we can expect
> > that some variant of this plan will be executed following the aerial
> > bombardment of Iranian military installations and weapons sites. If Iran
> > retaliates, then there is every reason to believe that either the United
> > States or Israel will respond with low-yield, bunker-busting nuclear
> > weapons. In fact, the Pentagon may want to demonstrate its eagerness to
> > use nuclear weapons do deter future adversaries and to maintain current
> > levels of troop deployments without a draft.
> >
> > Tonkin Bay Redux
> >
> > On January 28, 2006, Iranian officials announced that they would "hand
> > over evidence that proved British involvement in bombings in the
southern
> > city of Ahvaz earlier in the week" that killed eight civilians and
wounded
> > 46 others. This was just one of the many bombings, incitements, and
> > demonstrations that have taken place in Khuzestan in the last year that
> > suggest foreign intervention. The action is strikingly similar to the 2
> > British commandoes who were apprehended in Basra a few months ago
dressed
> > as Arabs with a truckload of explosives during the week of religious
> > festival.
> >
> > Coincidence?
> >
> > Probably not.
> >
> > Step by step, Iran is being set up for war. What difference does the
> > provocation make? The determination to consolidate the oil reserves in
the
> > Caspian Basin was made more than a decade ago and is clearly articulated
> > in the policy papers produced by the Project for the New American
Century
> > (PNAC) The Bush administration is one small province away from realizing
> > the its dream of controlling the world's most valued resource. They
won't
> > let that opportunity pass them by.
> >
> > We're in for another war.
> >
> > Courtesy and Copyright © Mike Whitney
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insidejob
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 03, 2006 12:26 pm    Post subject: Mike Whitney Reply with quote

This must be circulated.
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sr4470
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:43 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thats very telling xmasdale, but that plan is assuming that Iran will just sit there and not fight for every inch of its ground and airspace...
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